CFTC

Prediction markets have recently emerged as a major focus of both federal and State regulators. With reported daily trading volumes exceeding $100 million ‑ and substantially more during major events such as the Super Bowl and federal elections ‑ these markets have drawn increasing scrutiny over concerns involving insider trading, market manipulation, and consumer protection.

There has been movement forward on the Clarity Act, and the SEC and CFTC have anticipated its passage by pre-emptively completing a “memorandum of understanding” that would be required by the Act, and by beginning the “rulemaking” process with a joint interpretive release distinguishing between “investment contract assets” regulated by the SEC and “digital commodities”…

Prediction markets now offer contracts tied directly to public company events—including stock price movements, earnings call language, regulatory outcomes, corporate announcements, and management decisions. These contracts are typically structured as event-based instruments rather than traditional securities. But for public companies, the practical question is straightforward: If employees are prohibited from trading securities on inside information, can they still bet on it?

The new Administration has a clear mandate to provide a securities regulatory pathway for crypto, but it had been unclear whether the SEC would take the initiative in building a framework for crypto regulation, or whether legislation making its way through Congress would steal the momentum.  What is taking shape is a blend of the…

On June 11, 2025, the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) voted to extend the compliance date for the most recently adopted amendments to Form PF by approximately four months, to October 1, 2025. The amendments were adopted jointly by the SEC and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (“CFTC”) on February 8, 2024, with an initial…